Spring 2024

Issue 49 · analyzed

36 ideas

position long inconclusive
VTC Vitec Software Group

Noah Snyder believes Vitec Software Group has strong growth potential due to its innovative software solutions and expanding market presence.

position long inconclusive
KYG Kelly Partners Group

Noah Snyder sees Kelly Partners Group as a compelling investment due to its solid business model and the increasing demand for its services in the market.

position short inconclusive
null Fairfax

dy Waters has a short position in Fairfax, indicating a belief that the stock is overvalued or facing significant challenges ahead.

position short inconclusive
BXMT Blackstone Mortgage Trust

dy Waters has a short position in Blackstone Mortgage Trust, suggesting concerns about its performance and market conditions.

position long
ESGR Enstar Group Ltd

Enstar Group Ltd is a strong investment due to its solid financial profile and ability to generate cash, which positions it well to weather market turbulence and capitalize on opportunities when competitors are distracte…

position long inconclusive
IPAR Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc.

Jennifer Oppold holds a position in Interpublic Group due to its strong fundamentals and potential for growth in the advertising sector.

position long inconclusive
HEI HEICO Corporation

HEICO Corporation is part of Jennifer Oppold's portfolio because of its robust business model and growth prospects in the aerospace and electronics sectors.

position long inconclusive
TREX Trex Company, Inc.

Jennifer Oppold considers Trex a valuable investment due to its leadership in the composite decking market and strong demand for sustainable building materials.

position short inconclusive
BF.B Brown-Forman Corporation

Adam Patinkin has a short position in Brown-Forman, believing that the company's valuation does not reflect the challenges it faces in the current market environment.

position long inconclusive
VTYHF Vistry Group PLC

Adam Patinkin is bullish on Vistry due to its strong fundamentals and potential for growth in the housing market.

position long inconclusive
EDR eDreams ODIGEO

Adam Patinkin sees eDreams ODIGEO as a promising investment due to its innovative approach in the online travel sector and potential for recovery post-pandemic.

position long inconclusive
LIFC Lifecore Biomedical, Inc.

Adam Patinkin considers Lifecore Biomedical a strong investment due to its unique product offerings and growth potential in the biotech space.

position short inconclusive
RUN Sunrun Inc.

Sunrun is destroying capital and has made horrific financial decisions. If interest rates return to zero, the stock may temporarily rise, but the underlying business fundamentals remain weak.

pitch short inconclusive
FFH Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited

Fairfax is believed to be marking its book aggressively, indicating a level of intellectual dishonesty in their financial reporting. This presents a significant short opportunity based on the review of the data.

pitch long
-8.8%
ESGR Enstar Group Limited
2024 Artisan International Growth Stock Pitch Challenge

Enstar is positioned as a strong player in the reinsurance market, benefiting from its capital strength and ability to attract premium pricing. The company can compound book value at a ~20% CAGR due to its selective unde…

pitch long inconclusive
JBI Janus International Group, Inc.
null

Janus International is undervalued due to its SPAC origins and ownership dynamics, which have masked its true value. The company holds significant market share in the self-storage sector and is poised to capitalize on th…

position long inconclusive
IPAR Inter Parfums, Inc.

Inter Parfums is a company that has shown strong growth potential, with a 12% organic CAGR prior to COVID and strong operating margins. The company has a unique opportunity in China, where fragrance usage is increasing a…

position long inconclusive
IPAR Inter Parfums, Inc.

Inter Parfums has shown strong performance with a great Q1 and excellent holiday season, indicating robust demand for their products. The potential for growth in the Chinese market presents a significant upside opportuni…

position long inconclusive
HEI HEICO Corporation

HEICO is a market leader in PMA parts, having built a strong reputation and trust over decades. Their recent acquisition of Wencor positions them to further solidify their dominance in the market, providing significant u…

position long inconclusive
HEI HEICO Corporation

HEICO has a strong decision-making structure that involves consensus among its leadership, which gives confidence in its ability to transition through eventual succession. The company has been able to grow both sets of b…

pitch long failed
-45.0%
TREX Trex Company, Inc.

Trex is the pioneer in composite decking, offering a sustainable alternative to wood decks. The company has a strong market position with approximately 50% market share, growing organically at a double-digit rate, and ea…

position long failed
-2.4%
TREX Trex Company, Inc.

Trex has a strong market position due to its manufacturing scale, distributor relationships, and brand recognition. Despite recent revenue drops, the company has shown resilience and continues to execute well, making it …

pitch short failed
+50.9%
TREX Trex Company, Inc.
Pershing Square Challenge

The inventory channel refill dynamics created a tough comparison for Trex, leading to a projected revenue drop of 30-40% by mid-2022. With rising interest rates impacting consumer financing for large investments like dec…

position short inconclusive
BF.B Brown-Forman Corporation

Brown-Forman is facing significant challenges due to an oversupply of whiskey inventory, which has reached twelve years of consumption. This supply wave is expected to lead to a deterioration in the company's growth and …

pitch long failed
-72.4%
VTY Vistry Group plc
null

Vistry is transitioning to a pure-play Partnerships business, which is faster-growing, less-cyclical, and earns higher returns on capital than traditional housebuilding. The company is currently undervalued, trading at l…

pitch long failed
-4.8%
EDR eDreams ODIGEO
null

eDreams is transforming its business from a transactional model to a subscription model, which has led to a significant increase in subscriber count and profitability. The company trades well below peer multiples and has…

pitch long failed
-26.0%
LFCR Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
null

Lifecore is poised for significant growth as it expands its manufacturing capacity in a market that is short on fill/finish CDMO capacity. With revenues, profits, and customer pipeline at record highs, the company is exp…

position long inconclusive
PEN Penumbra, Inc.

Penumbra was involved in activism that successfully removed a dangerous medical device from the market, showcasing the importance of activism in the healthcare sector. Despite this, some investors were willing to overloo…

pitch long
-91.4%
ESGR Enstar Group Limited
null

Enstar is an attractive opportunity to acquire a stake in a unique reinsurance business that has delivered excess returns. The current price of $267 per share is undervalued compared to an estimated worth of $400 to $500…

pitch long failed
-45.9%
JBI Janus International Group, Inc.
2023 UNC Alpha Challenge (1st Place)

Janus International Group is undervalued compared to its premium business product peers and has significant competitive advantages in the self-storage market. The company is expected to benefit from a shift towards renov…

position long inconclusive
VITB SS Vitec Software Group

Vitec Software is the largest vertical market software company in the Nordics, with impressive growth metrics, including over 20% revenue CAGR and over 30% EBITDA CAGR over the last five years. Despite being overshadowed…

pitch long
VIT Vitec Group plc
null

Vitec is positioned for higher than expected growth due to its recent expansion in M&A and a focus on small, privately owned businesses that are undervalued. With shares trading at ~18x forward EBITDA compared to peers a…

pitch long failed
-37.2%
KPG AU Kelly Partners Group Holdings Limited
null

Kelly Partners is a compelling investment opportunity due to its high-quality, organically growing core business and a strong management team. The company is consolidating the accounting industry in Australia with a uniq…

position long
KATE Kate Spade & Company

Shayan invested in Kate Spade when it was undergoing a turnaround under a new management team, indicating a belief in the potential for recovery and growth.

position long inconclusive
TRIP TripAdvisor, Inc.

Shayan invested in TripAdvisor when it spun off from Expedia, suggesting he saw value in the newly independent company and its growth potential.

position long inconclusive
TSLA Tesla, Inc.

Shayan's most contentious idea was Tesla, which he began to analyze in early 2012, indicating he recognized its potential despite the stock being highly shorted at the time.