Weight Watchers International, Inc.

WTW position short Rolf Heitmeyer

Thesis

Weight Watchers is a poor capital allocator, having issued $1.5 billion of debt to repurchase shares at $82 each, just as competition from free dieting apps began to rise. The stock now trades around $8, highlighting the consequences of their misallocation of capital and the challenges facing their business model.

Did it work?

inconclusive confidence: low

The thesis argues that Weight Watchers' poor capital allocation and rising competition would negatively impact the stock price. However, without specific price performance data or a defined time frame for the pitch, it's unclear whether the thesis has played out or not. Therefore, the outcome remains uncertain.

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