CDK Global, Inc.

CDK pitch long Brian Waterhouse

Thesis

CDK is positioned for significant topline growth driven by the transition from analog to digital in the automotive retail industry, alongside substantial margin expansion and strong free cash flow generation. The company is expected to achieve a price target of $65, representing a 61% upside from the current price, based on a 17x forward FCF multiple.

Did it work?

failed confidence: high

The long thesis for CDK was based on expected topline growth and margin expansion, projecting a price target of $65. However, the stock has declined by 29.2% since the pitch, indicating that the anticipated growth and performance improvements did not materialize as expected.

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