Herbalife Ltd.

HLF pitch short Bill Ackman

Thesis

Bill Ackman believes that Herbalife is a pyramid scheme and that the quality of work done by those who own the stock is poor. He asserts that if investors continue to hold the stock, they will ultimately lose 100% of their investment.

Did it work?

failed confidence: high

The thesis asserted that Herbalife was a pyramid scheme and predicted that investors would ultimately lose 100% of their investment. However, over the elapsed time of 141 months, the stock has increased by 34.5%, indicating that the short thesis did not materialize as expected.

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