Staples, Inc.

SPLS pitch long null

Thesis

We are long Staples 8.5 2025 Senior Unsecured notes which are trading at 91.7 with a YTM of 10.3%. The market has overreacted to the announcement of Amazon Business Prime, dropping the newly issued bonds from 96 to a low of 85. We believe the bonds offer a compelling investment due to extremely stable cash flows, strong barriers to entry against Amazon, and market overreaction to Amazon Business Prime.

Did it work?

failed confidence: high

The investment thesis for Staples' bonds was based on the belief that the market had overreacted to competitive threats from Amazon, but the bonds have significantly underperformed, dropping 68.9% since the pitch. This drastic decline indicates that the anticipated stability and cash flow strength did not materialize as expected, leading to a failure of the thesis.

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