ServiceMaster Global Holdings

SERV pitch long Aryeh Capital Management

Thesis

ServiceMaster is a complex company with three market-leading businesses: Terminix, American Home Shield, and a franchise business. The stock price has fallen from over $40 to $32 due to market misunderstanding and concerns about Terminix's growth, which we believe are unfounded. The underlying businesses are high-quality with strong competitive advantages and growth potential, making this an attractive investment opportunity.

Did it work?

failed confidence: high

The stock price has significantly declined by 82.3% since the pitch, which contradicts the long thesis that anticipated growth and recovery in value. The concerns about Terminix's growth were deemed unfounded, yet the substantial drop in price indicates that the market's apprehensions were valid, leading to a clear failure of the investment thesis.

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