Apollo Group, Inc.
APOL
pitch
short
Tim Rupert, John Piermont, Grant Bowman
Thesis
The team argued that Apollo Group's growth in Associate degrees, which have lower tuition and higher default rates, poses a significant risk to its revenue, with 80% at risk due to Title IV eligibility review. They believe that both students and investors are 'paying more and getting less' with APOL, making it a poor investment.
Did it work?
inconclusive
confidence: low
Without specific price performance data or a defined time frame since the pitch, it's difficult to assess whether the thesis has played out. The concerns regarding revenue risk and the impact of Title IV eligibility reviews are valid, but without evidence of price movement or confirmation of these risks materializing, the outcome remains uncertain.
Raw excerpt
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