Republic Airways Holdings, Inc.

RJET pitch long Donald Smith

Thesis

Republic Airlines is a low-cost operator trading at 86% of tangible book value, with an estimated earnings power of $1.60, implying a valuation of 5.4x potential earnings. The company is expected to benefit from industry consolidation and has significant tax loss carryforwards, enhancing its earnings potential.

Did it work?

worked confidence: high

The stock price increased by 148.5%, which aligns with the long thesis that Republic Airlines was undervalued at 86% of tangible book value and had strong earnings potential. The anticipated benefits from industry consolidation and tax loss carryforwards likely contributed to this significant price appreciation, confirming the thesis's validity.

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