Rayonier Inc.

RYN position long H. Kevin Byun

Thesis

Rayonier's upcoming spin-off of its specialty chemical business is expected to unlock significant value, with the spin-off potentially valued at $25 to $35 per share. The parent company is also expected to have a strong dividend yield, making it an attractive investment.

Did it work?

failed confidence: high

The thesis anticipated a significant value unlock from the spin-off, with a projected valuation of $25 to $35 per share. However, the stock has declined by 51.1%, indicating that the anticipated value creation did not materialize, and the investment thesis has failed to hold up.

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